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Executive Summary

Between March 16 and March 25, 2026, Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) conducted a sustained, multi-axis ground campaign in southern Lebanon under Operation Roaring Lion, expanding a forward security zone across western, central, and eastern sectors simultaneously (Institute for the Study of War & Critical Threats Project [ISW-CTP], March 24, 2026; Foundation for Defense of Democracies [FDD], March 16, 2026). The IDF's 36th Armored Division and 146th Reserve Armored Division constitute the primary operational formations, with the most intense ground-manoeuvre activity concentrated along the Taybeh–Qantara axis in the central sector, the Naqoura coastal corridor in the west, and the Khiam urban centre in the east (ISW-CTP, March 24, 2026; Asharq Al-Awsat, March 19, 2026). According to Israel-Alma Research and Education Center, Hezbollah has maintained a high-output retaliatory posture throughout, recording 60 attack waves on March 24 alone, comprising rockets/missiles (60%), UAVs (30%), and anti-tank systems (10%), and a cumulative total of 975 attack waves since re-entering hostilities on March 2, 2026 (Israel-Alma, March 25, 2026). No confirmed decisive territorial breakthrough has been established, and open-source imagery verification remains materially constrained by cloud cover over key sectors between March 20–25 (ISW-CTP, March 24, 2026). The battlefield is evolving toward an attritional dynamic, with both sides demonstrating operational resilience.

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