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Executive Summary
The Italian Navy currently maintains a qualitative advantage over the Turkish Navy, primarily due to its carrier-based fixed-wing aviation (F-35B), proven blue-water FREMM frigates, and superior NATO interoperability. Italy ranks #11 in naval power (WDMMW) while Türkiye ranks #10, though Italy's TrueValue score (80.7) marginally exceeds Türkiye's (80.5).
Italy's F-35B fleet provides 5th-generation stealth and beyond-visual-range combat capabilities that Türkiye cannot match with its current drone-centric naval aviation. Türkiye's TCG Anadolu operates subsonic UCAVs like the TB3 Bayraktar, which are not optimized for high-end contested airspace operations.
Türkiye is rapidly closing the gap through an unprecedented indigenous shipbuilding surge with 39 warships simultaneously under construction as of December 2025. The Turkish Navy leads in amphibious capability (34 active hulls) and submarine fleet numbers (14 vs. Italy's 8), though Italy maintains superior per-hull quality with its Type 212A AIP submarines.
The assessment indicates Italy will likely retain its overall qualitative advantage through at least 2030, with rough parity possible by the early 2030s if Türkiye successfully delivers its MUGEM carrier, Tepe-class destroyers, and MILDEN submarines on schedule.

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